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Another Reason Gold Prices Can Keep Rising

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chaikinanalytics.com

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Thu, Apr 4, 2024 12:47 PM

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Gold prices have been breaking through new highs this year... Gold is up about 11% since the start o

Gold prices have been breaking through new highs this year... Gold is up about 11% since the start of 2024. That has outpaced the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index's roughly 8% year-to-date rally. [Chaikin PowerFeed]( Another Reason Gold Prices Can Keep Rising By Vic Lederman, editorial director, Chaikin Analytics Gold prices have been breaking through new highs this year... Gold is up about 12% since the start of 2024. That has outpaced the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index's roughly 8% year-to-date rally. Sure, gold's big rally this year is impressive. But it's particularly remarkable because gold is rising in the face of a strong U.S. dollar. You see, gold and the dollar have traditionally been opposites. People tend to flock to gold during times of high inflation or, as was the case in 2020, record low interest rates. Low yields on the U.S. dollar increase the appeal of gold, which yields nothing. As interest rates climb, the appeal of holding gold wanes while that of owning the dollar increases. In this case, the U.S. dollar strengthens. So historically, gold has been weak when the U.S. dollar was strong. You can see what I mean in the chart below comparing the price of gold with the U.S. Dollar Index ("DXY")... [Chaikin PowerFeed] But something is happening in 2024. The dollar has stayed relatively strong against a basket of currencies. This is largely due to the fact that interest rates are still at the highest they've been since March 2001. At the same time, gold is at a record high of more than $2,300 per ounce. How can the U.S. dollar and gold both be strong? As I'll explain next, a big reason is China... Recommended Links: [Emergency Crypto Briefing on April 9]( The analyst who has booked more 1,000%-plus gains than any other analyst at Stansberry Research – solely by using cryptos – is now stepping forward with the biggest prediction of his career. He'll be joined by the founder of a tiny crypto that could soon reshape the U.S. financial system. [Click here to learn more](. [ENDING TONIGHT: "The Most Valuable Information You Will Ever Get For Free In Your Life"]( A rare mathematical inversion in ONE corner of the stock market now presents a 1-in-20-year money-making opportunity we may never see again in our lifetime. It has nothing to do with "The Magnificent Seven" or the presidential election... and doesn't involve trading options or bitcoin. Yet, it could create enormous wealth for those who position themselves correctly, beginning immediately. Until midnight tonight, you can access the full details along with the best invitation you'll ever see offered to take advantage of it, [right here](. Remember that China is the world's second-largest economy. Its middle-class population is greater than the size of the entire U.S. population. More importantly, the Chinese are already the world's largest consumers of gold. They bought 825 tonnes of it in 2022 and 1,090 tonnes in 2023. On the other hand, the U.S. consumes just about a quarter of that amount. And this year, the Chinese are likely to significantly buy a lot more gold. That's because the People's Bank of China ("PBOC"), the country's central bank, is expected to soon start buying its own treasury bonds like the way the Federal Reserve unleashed quantitative easing ("QE") after the global financial crisis. It will be the first time in nearly two decades that the PBOC intervened in the treasury market. Folks, keep in mind that China's benchmark interest rate (called its one-year loan prime rate) has been on a gradual decline for the past 10 years... [Chaikin PowerFeed] But this hasn't been able to give the country's economy the boost it needs to completely recover from a historic property slump and slowing domestic consumption. The Chinese government is getting more desperate to ensure that it reaches its economic growth goals. That includes providing jobs for an estimated 10 million new graduates each year. It has set a target of growing GDP by around 5% this year. But judging by the way its property market remains stuck in reverse, it's unlikely China will hit that without the kind of QE that helped the U.S. economy get back on its feet 15 years ago. Buying its own treasury securities to drive interest rates down isn't guaranteed to help the Chinese government reach its economic targets. But lower interest rates will make gold very attractive for millions of people in the country. They simply don't care how strong the U.S. dollar is because ordinary Chinese people can't easily buy foreign currencies. But they can buy gold. This helps explain why gold continues to climb in the face of a strong U.S. dollar. And given the state of the Chinese economy today, this will likely help gold keep moving higher. Good investing, Vic Lederman Market View Major Indexes and Notable Sectors # Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish Dow 30 -0.08% 11 17 2 S&P 500 +0.12% 183 260 55 Nasdaq +0.22% 36 52 11 Small Caps +0.63% 472 1059 372 Bonds UNCH — According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Large Cap stocks and Small Cap stocks are Bullish. Major indexes are mixed. * * * * Sector Tracker Sector movement over the last 5 days Energy +3.96% Communication +1.25% Materials +0.26% Utilities -0.15% Financial -0.55% Information Technology -0.64% Industrials -0.71% Real Estate -2.16% Staples -2.27% Discretionary -2.44% Health Care -2.49% * * * * Industry Focus Health Care Services 9 32 19 Over the past 6 months, the Health Care Services subsector (XHS) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -10.85%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Weak, with more Bearish than Bullish stocks. It is currently ranked #18 of 21 subsectors and has moved down 1 slot over the past week. Indicative Stocks [rating] CYH Community Health Sys [rating] OPK OPKO Health, Inc. [rating] ACHC Acadia Healthcare Co * * * * Top Movers Gainers [rating] PARA +14.97% [rating] GE +6.7% [rating] NRG +4.97% [rating] ENPH +4.45% [rating] MU +4.29% Losers [rating] ULTA -15.34% [rating] INTC -8.22% [rating] EL -4.12% [rating] BBWI -3.67% [rating] DIS -3.13% * * * * Earnings Report Reporting Today Rating Before Open After Close LW, RPM CAG No earnings reporting today. Earnings Surprises [rating] AYI Acuity Brands, Inc. Q2 $3.38 Beat by $0.15 * * * * You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to PowerFeed. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from PowerFeed, [click here](. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call [+1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.)](tel:18776976783), 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2024 Chaikin Analytics, LLC. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Chaikin Analytics, LLC. 201 King Of Prussia Rd., Suite 650, Radnor, PA 19087. [www.chaikinanalytics.com.]( Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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