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Pay Attention to the Market's 'Riptide Warnings'

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Thu, Mar 28, 2024 12:47 PM

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I know from firsthand experience that riptides are powerful... As a surfer in my teens, I was carrie

I know from firsthand experience that riptides are powerful... As a surfer in my teens, I was carried more than 45 blocks along the New Jersey shoreline while surfing in pre-hurricane conditions before I could get out of the water. [Chaikin PowerFeed]( Editor's note: The markets and our Chaikin Analytics offices will be closed tomorrow, March 29, for Good Friday. So we won't publish our Chaikin PowerFeed e-letter. We hope you enjoy the long weekend. And you can expect to receive your next issue on Monday, April 1. Pay Attention to the Market's 'Riptide Warnings' By Pete Carmasino, chief market strategist, Chaikin Analytics I know from firsthand experience that riptides are powerful... As a surfer in my teens, I was carried more than 45 blocks along the New Jersey shoreline while surfing in pre-hurricane conditions before I could get out of the water. What saved me? I didn't fight the tide. I floated on my board along the shoreline and waited it out. Thankfully, I learned that as a youngster. I was a great swimmer, but no one person is greater than the tides of the ocean. Lifeguards have a saying along the lines of "riptides don't drown people, people drown in riptides." The undertow is the main thing that makes people panic and start to exhaust themselves swimming. Overestimating your swimming ability and underestimating the riptide is a recipe for disaster. The same is true in the markets. What may look like a broadening out of performance can turn into a new trend – a tide – which takes you out to "sea" if you aren't in the right stocks. It's like a "riptide warning." Thankfully, we have an investing guide here at Chaikin Analytics to help us... Recommended Links: [The Historic Market Anomaly Sending Stocks up 100% in a Single Day]( A rare mathematical inversion in ONE corner of the stock market now presents a 1-in-20-year money-making opportunity we may never see again in our lifetime. It has nothing to do with "The Magnificent Seven" or the presidential election... and doesn't involve trading options or bitcoin. Yet, it could create enormous wealth for those who position themselves correctly, beginning today. [Click here for full story](. [BREAKING: A Global GOLD LOCKDOWN is Now Underway...]( All over the world, vaults are being emptied out by financial insiders. And soon, you may not be able to purchase gold – at ANY PRICE... Period. Forty-year market veteran and former Goldman Sachs Vice President, Dr. David Eifrig, reveals what is happening behind the scenes in the gold market, and [what you must do immediately to prepare](. You see, our Power Gauge system doesn't just track fundamentals. It also gives us technical indicators. And the one I tend to rely on the most is relative strength. It shows me if a stock or exchange-traded fund ("ETF") is beating the S&P 500 Index. And to track the S&P 500, we use the SPDR S&P 500 Fund (SPY) . Now, here's the most important thing to remember... If a stock or fund isn't doing well when SPY is also underperforming, there's a big problem. Not only is that stock or fund going down, it's also down more than the broad market. This leads me to the recent performance of the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ). It's an ETF we can use to track the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index. Now, I'm not saying that alarms are sounding to "get out of the water" with tech. But right now, I see the makings of a move lower. Take a look at the chart below... [Chaikin PowerFeed] You can see in the red circle that QQQ's relative strength versus the S&P 500 has just turned lower. That's after months of stronger relative strength versus the broad market. And in the yellow circle, you can see the Power Gauge has just changed from "bullish" to "neutral" on QQQ. That's also after months of a "bullish" rating. Now, this alone isn't enough to change our overall bullish outlook... We can see the broader indexes like the S&P 500 and the Russell 3000 are still doing well. And since QQQ is heavily weighted in the large-cap tech stocks, it is weakening. Its top-heavy nature speaks to both its incredible performance in the past year and to the recent move down. And now, with inflation and interest rates driving market sentiment, technology could be taking a well-deserved breather. In my next essay on Monday, I'll review the sectors that are now broadening out versus QQQ and the S&P 500 – and what that means for us as investors. Good investing, Pete Carmasino Market View Major Indexes and Notable Sectors # Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish Dow 30 +1.2% 12 17 1 S&P 500 +0.84% 199 258 40 Nasdaq +0.34% 41 49 9 Small Caps +2.18% 577 985 345 Bonds +0.99% Utilities +2.79% 4 22 4 — According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Large Cap stocks remain somewhat more Bullish than Small Cap stocks. Major indexes are all strongly bullish. * * * * Sector Tracker Sector movement over the last 5 days Utilities +2.08% Health Care +1.55% Energy +1.47% Industrials +1.23% Materials +1.18% Real Estate +0.9% Financial +0.79% Discretionary +0.65% Staples +0.37% Communication +0.21% Information Technology -0.47% * * * * Industry Focus Biotech Services 31 74 13 Over the past 6 months, the Biotech subsector (XBI) has outperformed the S&P 500 by +5.47%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #13 of 21 subsectors. Top Stocks [rating] MRNA Moderna, Inc. [rating] NBIX Neurocrine Bioscienc [rating] UTHR United Therapeutics * * * * Top Movers Gainers [rating] ENPH +9.56% [rating] FSLR +9.33% [rating] CTAS +8.25% [rating] ALB +8.23% [rating] NCLH +5.85% Losers [rating] ANET -3.16% [rating] NOW -2.51% [rating] NFLX -2.5% [rating] NVDA -2.5% [rating] SNPS -1.88% * * * * Earnings Report Reporting Today Rating Before Open After Close MKC, MSM WBA No earnings reporting today. Earnings Surprises [rating] CCL Carnival Corporation & plc Q1 $-0.14 Beat by $0.04 [rating] CTAS Cintas Corporation Q3 $3.84 Beat by $0.26 [rating] RH RH Q4 $-0.42 Missed by $-1.51 * * * * You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to PowerFeed. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from PowerFeed, [click here](. You’re receiving this e-mail at {EMAIL}. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call [+1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.)](tel:18776976783), 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2024 Chaikin Analytics, LLC. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Chaikin Analytics, LLC. 201 King Of Prussia Rd., Suite 650, Radnor, PA 19087. [www.chaikinanalytics.com.]( Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

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