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Nvidia and the future of AI

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Fri, Aug 30, 2024 02:37 PM

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The biggest event of the week ? and possibly the entire month ? was Nvidia?s second-quarter ea

The biggest event of the week – and possibly the entire month – was Nvidia’s (NVDA) second-quarter earnings report released after the bell on Wednesday. [Header]( Nvidia and the Future of AI Dear reader, The biggest event of the week – and possibly the entire month – was Nvidia’s (NVDA) second-quarter earnings report released after the bell on Wednesday. The posterchild of the artificial intelligence (AI) megatrend saw solid numbers, but they were received with a mixed response. I don’t want to get into the nitty gritty of Nvidia’s full report. You can look that up on your own. But I do feel that there are several numbers worth highlighting… The first is revenue. The top line increased 122% year over year – led by demand for Nvidia’s data center products. The number is quite impressive at first glance. But it didn’t keep pace with the 200%-plus year-over-year growth that the company has experienced in the prior three quarters. And next quarter, revenue is expected to increase by just 80% from the third quarter last year. The other number that weighed on the stock after the report was gross margin. That figure came in at 75.1%, which was well above the 70.1% reported last year but below last quarter’s 78.4%. Gross margin is the percentage of Nvidia’s revenue that’s retained after taking out direct costs. You can see the surge in the company’s gross margin during last year’s AI boom, and some are concerned that it may be peaking. (Note: The chart below doesn’t include the dip to 75.1% in the second quarter.) [Nvidia profit margins] Those concerns may be overblown, though. During the conference call, Nvidia mentioned that it will begin ramping up production of its newest graphics processing unit (GPU) called Blackwell in the coming quarter. This could result in a revenue surge so that even if gross margin does settle in the mid-70% range, investors should be willing to push the stock back to new highs. At the end of the day, we must remember that the AI transformation sweeping across every industry in the market is still in its early stages – and no megatrend goes straight up. There will always be doubters along the way who want to call the top. We saw this throughout the 1990s, when every major publication said that the internet would never infiltrate all homes. Boy were they wrong. As far as the future of AI goes, there’s no doubt in my mind that the technology we see today will pale in comparison to what will become custom five years from now. Most jobs will require the use of AI, and you won’t want to be the person who refuses to adapt. If you feel like you missed out on Nvidia’s meteoric rise, don’t worry. There will be plenty more Nvidia opportunities in the future. Just keep an open mind and look to the future – not in the rearview mirror. The past is the past. Now it’s time to focus on how AI will change our world in the future. Here’s to the future, [Matt McCall signature] Matt McCall Editor, Market Insights Check Out My Latest Podcast [STEP 14]( Water is a difficult topic to get investors excited about because it’s all around us and part of our daily life. There’s a hesitancy in believing that it’s an investable commodity. But I guarantee that [this new episode of the SteadyTrade Podcast]( will have you viewing water investments in a whole new light. Demand for water is increasing – with some of the biggest drivers being manufacturing and artificial intelligence. Tim Bohen and I dive into the investment opportunities in the world of water and discuss how it could become a catalyst for a future world war. Plus, I share a few water-related names that may be worth adding to your watch list. [Click here to learn more.]( [Centurion Logo]( © Centurion Publishing 13809 Research Blvd, Suite 500, Austin, TX 78750 *Results are not typical. Past performance does not indicate future results. All investing carries risk. 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