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The EV Revolution Won’t Happen Until This Is Solved...

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Tue, Aug 9, 2022 08:01 PM

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Editor?s Note: Today and tomorrow, we?ll share a two-part discussion on the future of electric v

[The Bleeding Edge]( Editor’s Note: Today and tomorrow, we’ll share a two-part discussion on the future of electric vehicle (EV) batteries… Today, Jeff explains why we need to develop new technology for EVs… and one of the biggest issues facing our current production of lithium-ion batteries… --------------------------------------------------------------- The EV Revolution Won’t Happen Until This Is Solved… Dear Reader, What's next for lithium-ion batteries? It’s one of the most popular questions I receive from readers. EV batteries are a massive market. The market was estimated to be valued at $46 billion in 2021. By 2030, that number is predicted to be nearly $560 billion. The current ones work, but they don’t last very long. And we can only recharge them a certain number of times before they must be replaced. They also tend to catch fire. That last part is not hyperbolic… In August of last year, Chevrolet recalled tens of thousands of its Chevy Bolt EVs. A defect in the battery made the car susceptible to spontaneously combust. Not good. There must be something better. In 2021, the world produced 80 million vehicles. And that number will largely shift toward EVs over time. So let’s look at what technology is going to be used to replace lithium-ion batteries… What's in the labs? What's being developed and experimented with right now? And how will we face the most critical issues of the EV industry going forward? Recommended Link [Flip Today’s Crazy Market to Your Gain]( [image]( 2022’s been a bloodbath for the stock market. But those following Market Wizard Larry Benedict have seen gains like: - 31% in 24 hours - 106% in three days - 79% in three days - 61% in three days - 120% in 11 days - And more… And these gains have come whether stocks go up or down! What’s Larry’s secret? In this short interview, he reveals his unique method – including the name of the ticker symbol you need to get started. [Click here for a private viewing.]( -- An Inflection Point It’s becoming clear that we've hit an inflection point for EV adoption. EV sales have been fairly nominal in the grand scheme of the automotive industry for the last few years. Yet things surprisingly picked up in the middle of the pandemic in 2021: We saw a big pop last year, and that's largely a result of Tesla bringing some incredible car manufacturing capabilities online. [Former Goldman Sachs Director Reveals Plan for New “Cash Shock” in America]( Tesla was smart. It put its supply chain agreements together in advance. It went so far as to buy lithium mines to ensure access to raw metal for battery production. And by 2030, it’s estimated that more than 60 million EVs will be sold annually. Anytime we see this kind of growth, it presents a massive opportunity. And there’s one dynamic to watch as this happens… Recommended Link [10x Worse Than 2022’s Market Crash? (Prepare Now)]( [image]( Is the Great American Collapse Here? We’ve seen America's top stocks crash hard... Apple hit a low of -23% Amazon -36% Facebook -52% And Netflix -71% Is there anywhere truly safe? More importantly, what’s NEXT? Another pandemic? More war? A bigger market crash? Nomi Prins (a former Goldman Sachs managing director) says: “What’s NEXT is NOT a historic crash… it’s NOT inflation… it’s FAR worse… A reshaping of our global financial system has ignited a $40 trillion transfer of wealth from the middle class to the rich… that could forever split the entire nation into two groups… [‘the new rich’]( or [‘the new poor’]( – you will have to make a choice.” [Click here for all the details.]( -- Battery Costs The reason that EVs have been so expensive for so long is that historically the cost of the batteries has been more than 50% of the cost of the car: We were at nearly 50% of the car cost back in 2016. This year, we're down to around 30% to 35%. These are rough numbers depending on the manufacturer. And if everything went perfectly, we might get that down to less than 20% of the cost of the car by 2030. But the other factor that's important to understand is the battery’s cost per kilowatt hour (kWh). Kilowatt-hour is a common unit of measurement for energy. The average U.S. home consumes 893 kWh per month. [Millionaire Trader Makes Stunning Warning to 263 Million Americans…]( And as the chart shows, lithium-ion batteries cost about $137 per kilowatt hour as recently as 2020: In order for EVs to be economically competitive with internal combustion engine (ICE) cars, the industry believes that number needs to come down to around $100 per kilowatt hour. (I actually think the correct number is closer to $80.) From the looks of this chart, we might assume we’ll hit the important $100 per kilowatt hour very soon. By 2023, the metric is expected to fall to $101. But there’s a problem with this projection… The most recent forecasts are actually showing a cost increase in 2022: Why is that happening? The answer is metals prices. They skyrocketed over the past year – particularly in the first quarter of 2022 – and disrupted all the previous projections for EV battery cost. As we can see, the price of metals like nickel, cobalt, and lithium – all essential components in EV batteries – soared in the early part of this year. And despite cooling down in recent months, that's going to push out many projections on EV battery costs for a couple of years. Recommended Link [WATCH: The most controversial investment method you’ll ever see…]( [image]( When it comes to making money during extreme market conditions... [Millionaire trader, Jeff Clark, is the man you should listen to.]( During the 2000 dot-com collapse, he doubled his net worth - with a single trade. In 2008, during the worst financial crisis of our lifetime… Jeff’s trades delivered gains as high as 490%. And he even predicted the crash of 2020 - and the historic 2020 spring rally. But today, Jeff is ready to reveal his most controversial investment method yet... [An unusual 3-second financial maneuver]( that lets you lock in gains as high as 660%... 810%... even 1,925% - in a matter of days. If you have any kind of money in the markets, you must hear what Jeff has to say. [Click here. LIVE demonstration reveals all the details.]( -- Metals Are Raising Costs We have some systemic problems in the market that must be addressed. This is where Tesla was smart. Tesla engineered the majority of its cobalt out of its batteries years ago. It was a strategic advantage, and very few people understood how materially important that was. Cobalt is a very expensive metal, and it's controlled by dangerous countries. And Tesla recognized that and did something about it. They actually changed the chemistry in their battery to gain a competitive advantage in the marketplace. To understand how serious this metals issue is, look at the demand: This is the incremental demand for the metal compared to a percentage of global production right now. It's such an easy visual that shows that the world has a massive problem. We need more lithium, and we don't have the production capacity. So much of the industry is living off of metals that are in storage right now. We're utilizing those. Now we've got to go out and produce them if we want to come anywhere close to producing the EVs that are forecasted. General Motors' forecast for EVs is nonsense. In June, CFO Paul Jacobson said it was “several hundred thousand” cars short of where it would have been without the supply shortages. It doesn’t have the supply agreements to have the raw materials to make its products. That's how far behind they are. But we read the mass media and see companies like this get attention for being “the number one EV car manufacturer in America.” And GM is not the only company struggling to get enough metals. Ford just announced that it is raising the price of its electric F-150 Lightning by as much as $8,500 – mainly because of the increasing costs of commodities. And it isn't giving any clues about how long customers will have to wait to receive their vehicles going forward. You literally can't have EV batteries without these materials. So we have a huge problem in the industry that we've got to solve. But that’s not the only issue we need to solve regarding EV batteries. There are some fundamental design issues with our current lithium-ion designs. Tune in tomorrow for more on that… Regards, Jeff Brown Editor, The Bleeding Edge --------------------------------------------------------------- Like what you’re reading? Send your thoughts to feedback@brownstoneresearch.com. --------------------------------------------------------------- IN CASE YOU MISSED IT… [Be Warned: Fill Up While You Can, America…]( Something is about to happen to your neighborhood gas station. Get in front of this federally mandated nationwide rollout… [Click here now.]( [image]( [Brownstone Research]( Brownstone Research 55 NE 5th Avenue, Delray Beach, FL 33483 [www.brownstoneresearch.com]( To ensure our emails continue reaching your inbox, please [add our email address]( to your address book. This editorial email containing advertisements was sent to {EMAIL} because you subscribed to this service. To stop receiving these emails, click [here](. Brownstone Research welcomes your feedback and questions. But please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized advice. To contact Customer Service, call toll free Domestic/International: 1-888-512-0726, Mon–Fri, 9am–7pm ET, or email us [here](mailto:memberservices@brownstoneresearch.com). © 2022 Brownstone Research. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution of our content, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Brownstone Research. [Privacy Policy]( | [Terms of Use](

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