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It's time for a reality check on China

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Sun, Apr 9, 2023 12:05 PM

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How worried are you about China?Admittedly, it’s a rather nebulous question. Are we talking abo

How worried are you about China?Admittedly, it’s a rather nebulous question. Are we talking about China’s global alliances (or attempts to c [Bloomberg]( Follow Us [Get the newsletter]( [How worried are you about China](? Admittedly, it’s a rather nebulous question. Are we talking about China’s global alliances (or attempts to create them)? Are people afraid of its economic power and potential, or its influence as a military and [technological]( force? What do increased [tensions between China and Taiwan]( mean for [national security](? And what about America’s hottest app, [TikTok](? Photographer: Timothy A. Clary/AFP via Getty Images Let Bloomberg Opinion columnist Minxin Pei — with assistance from Bloomberg’s editorial board — calibrate your concerns. The perception of China’s increasing power tends to exceed the reality of it. Here are five reasons that is true. - [China’s military strength is overhyped](: “For all its talk about the decline of the West and rise of the East, China remains a significantly weaker power than the US on practically all fronts. What China sees as unfair practices — including US surveillance operations in international airspace and waters near the Chinese coast — are merely a manifestation of the exercise of US power in its rivalry with a weaker adversary.” - On top of that, Minxin says, [China talks a big game]( on national ambitions but can’t follow through: “In case after case, leaders in Beijing have identified top national priorities and lavished them with support. And time after time, this ‘whole-of-nation’ effort, meant to mobilize the talent and resources of a giant country, has led only to waste, graft and failure.” - Bloomberg’s editorial board says Washington frets about [China’s financial leverage over the US](, but that’s also overhyped: “[Less than 2%]( of US foreign direct investment is held in China, and US venture-capital companies have invested only about $60 billion in Chinese startups since 2010, compared with $1.3 trillion in the US.” - The [China-Russia alliance]( is also less than it seems, Minxin writes, adding that influence doesn’t equal leverage: “The meagerness of the economic deals signed during Xi Jingping’s visit to Moscow — which glaringly omitted the [second gas pipeline]( from Russia to China — indicates that China is not ready to go all in, at least for now. This portends trouble” for any alliance between the two nations. - And the Saudi deal was significant, but [the US remains firmly in control](: “Those lamenting America’s apparent loss of influence in the Middle East should know that this is one of the costs of focusing US attention and resources on the competition with China — and it’s one the US can afford to pay.” Bonus China Reading: - US Must Still Fight for [Taiwan’s Hearts]( and Minds: Nisid Hajari - US ‘Guardrails’ With China Are [Shaky at Best](: Hal Brands - The [US, UK and Australia]( Send China a Message: James Stavridis Notes: To contact the author of this newsletter, email bsample1@bloomberg.net. This is the Theme of the Week edition of Bloomberg Opinion Today, a digest of our top commentary published every Sunday. Follow us on [Instagram](, [TikTok](, [Twitter]( and [Facebook](. Like getting this newsletter? [Subscribe to Bloomberg.com]( for unlimited access to trusted, data-driven journalism and subscriber-only insights. Before it’s here, it’s on the Bloomberg Terminal. Find out more about how the Terminal delivers information and analysis that financial professionals can’t find anywhere else. [Learn more](. Want to sponsor this newsletter? [Get in touch here](. You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Bloomberg Opinion Today newsletter. [Unsubscribe]( | [Bloomberg.com]( | [Contact Us]( [Ads Powered By Liveintent]( | [Ad Choices]( Bloomberg L.P. 731 Lexington, New York, NY, 10022

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