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The whole world’s in a housing bubble now

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Wed, Jul 7, 2021 09:06 PM

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Follow Us This is Bloomberg Opinion Today, a toothbrush fence of Bloomberg Opinion’s opinions.

[Bloomberg]( Follow Us [Get the newsletter]( This is Bloomberg Opinion Today, a toothbrush fence of Bloomberg Opinion’s opinions. [Sign up here](. Today’s Agenda - The [housing bubble is global](. - America must [step up its antitrust game](. - A [Bitcoin ETF could help tame Bitcoin](. - Ethiopia is [on the brink of disaster](. Photographer: Karen Chee Photographer: Karen Chee Housing Gets Dung and Dunger One point three million U.S. dollars sounds like too many dollars to pay for a house that’s practically falling down, until you consider it’s in the suburb of a major city in a developed country that [beat]( Covid-19, is relatively [safe]( from nuclear fallout, and has a [toothbrush fence](. That’s how much an Auckland “[dunger](,” which is the New Zealandish word for “dump,” sold for in January. If it sold today, it would probably go for more. If I had $1.3 million to spend on a house, the dunger would be mighty tempting because, again, New Zealand. It’s a special place. But it’s [far from the only country where home prices are at spit-take levels](, writes Lionel Laurent. Lionel diagnoses the planet with mass FOMO. Hard-luck millennials finally feel a little flush and want to make up for decades of lost wealth-building time. People see prices going up and naturally want in, assuming prices will go up forever because nobody remembers what happened yesterday, much less a decade ago. All of it is greased by an endless supply of easy money. The Fed is even still buying mortgage-backed securities, though some central bankers are starting to [question]( the point of it. Some of us with hazy memories of the Afore Times (2008) get antsy about the possible repercussions of such excess. But a global financial crisis isn’t the only possible bad outcome. Unaffordability can worsen inflation and inequality, turning FOMO into something more dangerous. Antitrust Needs Newer, Sharper Teeth [Critics]( of Lina Khan’s novel approach to antitrust law say she’s trying to do too much with it, like using a screwdriver to fix your car, flip pancakes and floss your teeth. But Tara Lachapelle points out [America’s antitrust laws were made 100 years ago](, a time when showing some ankle in a Model T was what passed for TikTok. They’re just no match for the kind of anticompetitive behavior Big Tech has invented since. Worse, they haven’t been enforced well, even against mergers that obviously fit the “consumer harm” standard antitrust traditionalists favor. Something has to change. Further Big Tech Reading: The Pentagon did the right thing [opening up its cloud computing bidding to Amazon](. — Tae Kim The Taming of the Crypto When something comes along with as much potential for mayhem and moneymaking as crypto, you can bet it will eventually be domesticated. Central banks around the world are working on their own substitutes — though Andy Mukherjee suggests [official [Your Country Here] coins may not be necessary](, as long as private options solve crypto’s problems. Congress, in a classic Congress move, isn’t rushing to regulate crypto. But Timothy Massad writes SEC approval of [a Bitcoin ETF could accomplish a lot of regulation]( simply by forcing exchanges and benchmarks to meet higher standards to participate. Meanwhile, fans of crypto and the crypt-adjacent just keep finding ways to freak out the establishment. Now they’ve gone and built [fake stocks]( to trade on the blockchain, which Nassim Nicholas Taleb accurately [suggests]( is just an update of the “bucket shops” of yore. Aaron Brown argues [this is a good thing, actually](, and that nobody can stop the masses from occupying this wild territory, however risky it is.  Further Reading [Ethiopia’s leader must reconcile with rebels]( rather than letting a humanitarian crisis worsen. — Bloomberg’s editorial board The [UAE and Saudi Arabia have to remain frenemies](, even as they keep finding reasons to disagree. — Bobby Ghosh [Coddling extremists has never worked for Pakistan]( and still won’t as the U.S. leaves Afghanistan. — Mihir Sharma Why has the [recovery trade suddenly vanished](? — John Authers There’s still a lot of [confusing public messaging about the delta variant](. — Faye Flam The pandemic inspired a lot of job-quitting. [Americans could use more of it](. — Allison Schrager ICYMI States are [suing Google over Play Store](. The unvaccinated are [not exactly being embraced on cruise ships](. America’s [best pizza is in … Portland](? Kickers The [Internet is rotting](. Fish are [getting hooked on meth](. A robot is [shaming politicians for looking]( at their phones. [Debit cards for kids are collecting]( mountains of data. Notes: Please send diary entries and complaints to Mark Gongloff at mgongloff1@bloomberg.net. [Sign up here]( and follow us on [Twitter]( and [Facebook](. Like Bloomberg Opinion Today? [Subscribe to Bloomberg All Access and get much, much more](. You’ll receive our unmatched global news coverage and two in-depth daily newsletters, The Bloomberg Open and The Bloomberg Close. Before it’s here, it’s on the Bloomberg Terminal. Find out more about how the Terminal delivers information and analysis that financial professionals can’t find anywhere else. [Learn more](. You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Bloomberg Opinion Today newsletter. 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