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The Elon Musk cargo cult keeps growing

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Tue, Feb 9, 2021 01:10 AM

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Follow Us This is Bloomberg Opinion Today, a crossing of the memes of Bloomberg Opinion’s opini

[Bloomberg]( Follow Us [Get the newsletter]( This is Bloomberg Opinion Today, a crossing of the memes of Bloomberg Opinion’s opinions. [Sign up here](. Today’s Agenda - Bitcoin + Tesla = [the Singularity](. - A fast impeachment trial [is a bad idea](. - Antitrust enforcement [may get serious](. - The $200,000-to-$1 million set [got a tax cut](. An Exciting Alternative to Net Present Value Elon Musk. Gamestop. Dogecoin. Bitcoin. Tesla. Seriously, why do we even need verbs anymore? Tesla Inc.’s disclosure in its annual report that it had bought $1.5 billion of the Bitcoin cryptocurrency “to further diversify and maximize returns on our cash” was just the latest in a series of charming Musk-related market happenings over the past few weeks, plus Bitcoin has been earning higher returns than cash lately. “Crossing the memes” in this way [felt portentous]( to Liam Denning, though: “It’s as if the earth has shifted a billionth of a degree on its axis or we are approaching some singularity in the capital markets with Lovecraftian overtones.” Meanwhile, Matt Levine [suggests that]( the change has already come, “and the way finance works now is that things are valuable not based on their cash flows but on their proximity to Elon Musk.” The Tesla-Bitcoin news came not long after a [Musk tweet]( about joke-cryptocurrency Dogecoin sent its value soaring ([here’s more]( on that from Lionel Laurent), and another [that simply read “GameStonk!!”]( seemed to do the same for Gamestop Inc.’s share price (although its subsequent collapse did start soon after). Levine too thinks this is weird and unsettling, that we are in the early stages of a rewiring of our social relationships by the internet and social media that we cannot fathom the end of. But at least we have Elon Musk to guide us! Oh, wait … Paid Post Our Place’s Always Pan replaces eight pieces of cookware — it sautés, boils, steams, braises, strains, and looks so good you’ll want to keep it out. That’s why it sells out every time. But two colors were just restocked. Lucky you! [Get yours now.]( Our Place The Case for a Slow Impeachment Trial Former President Donald Trump’s Senate impeachment trial is scheduled to start Tuesday afternoon, and Trump biographer Tim O’Brien [thinks it would be a big mistake]( for his Democratic accusers to rush through it for fear of otherwise derailing President Joe Biden’s legislative agenda. Sure, they probably won’t be able to get the 67 votes needed to convict him and ban him from holding public office again. But the trial provides a unique opportunity to establish for the historical record what exactly Trump did to try to derail the democratic process. It also provides an opportunity for Trump’s lawyers to come up with some innovative arguments for why he shouldn’t be convicted, but after reading their trial brief law professor Noah Feldman is [extremely unimpressed](. They argue, for example, that punishing the president would violate his First Amendment right to free speech, but Noah notes that a “robust commitment to free speech doesn’t require protecting from impeachment a president who uses words in an attempt to destroy the democratic process.” On a somewhat related note, Stephen Carter, another of Bloomberg Opinion’s law professors, [warns that]( overuse of the term “insurrection” to describe civil disturbances could deliver insurers an undeserved windfall. An Overdue Antitrust Overhaul is Coming The boom in megamergers over the past decade is an indication of the failure of U.S. antitrust regulation, writes Tara Lachapelle, but [change may be on the way](. Amy Klobuchar, new chair of the U.S. Senate Subcommittee on Antitrust, Competition Policy and Consumer Protection, is introducing new legislation that would make blocking mergers much easier by shifting the burden of proof from regulators to companies, and even bolder proposals are being discussed in the House. The focus seems to be chiefly on tech giants that were already under fire from Republicans, meaning this issue probably won’t go away anytime soon. Telltale Charts Who got the biggest tax cuts (as a percentage of income) from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017? According to 2018 tax data recently released by the Internal Revenue Service, it’s [those salt-of-the-earth folks]( making between $200,000 and $1 million a year, reports Justin Fox, aka me. There are, however, apparently a lot of people working in the financial services industry in Greater New York who make that kind of money and still saw a tax increase because the 2017 tax law so sharply curtailed their deduction for state and local taxes. Many of them have been nice enough to email and even call me today to make sure I was aware of this! Yes it seems like an historic moment, with the yield on the 30-year Treasury topping 2% for the first time since, um, a year ago. But [the 30-year is a sideshow](, argues Brian Chappatta, with the real action happening in shorter-term debt securities that as yet show little indication of a coming resurgence in interest rates. Further Reading [Save that stimulus check]( (if you can)! — Teresa Ghilarducci Today’s Republican Party [could use more]( George Shultzes. — Jonathan Bernstein Joe Biden should focus less on stimulus and [more on investment](. — Tyler Cowen [Distressed-company investing in China]( isn’t for spreadsheet jockeys. — Shuli Ren Clubhouse’s [wonderful if probably fleeting]( China moment. — Tim Culpan [Central banking’s flawed bird analogies]( aren’t working. — Daniel Moss Beware of “original antigenic sin” [in the Covid-19 fight](. — Sam Fazeli ICYMI [Twelve House committees]( are working to cobble together the Covid-relief bill. Average U.S. junk bond yields [drop below 4%]( for first time ever. Big U.S. banks are [lending less and less](. Kickers The [red panda GIF]( you need and deserve. A laptop with [seven screens](. Somebody [hacked a water-treatment plant]( in Florida. Note: Please send memes and complaints (especially about the late arrival of today’s newsletter, which was due entirely to author error) to justinfox@bloomberg.net. Mark Gongloff will be back tomorrow. [Sign up here]( and follow us on [Twitter]( and [Facebook](.  Like Bloomberg Opinion Today? [Subscribe to Bloomberg All Access and get much, much more](. You’ll receive our unmatched global news coverage and two in-depth daily newsletters, The Bloomberg Open and The Bloomberg Close. Before it’s here, it’s on the Bloomberg Terminal. Find out more about how the Terminal delivers information and analysis that financial professionals can’t find anywhere else. [Learn more](.  You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Bloomberg Opinion Today newsletter. [Unsubscribe]( | [Bloomberg.com]( | [Contact Us]( Bloomberg L.P. 731 Lexington, New York, NY, 10022

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