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Todayâs Agenda
- Trump is [paying for his coronavirus hubris](.
- More than ever, the [economy desperately needs help](.
- Youâre probably [not fleeing to a low-tax state](.
- Chinaâs virus response has [boosted its growth](.
Trumpâs Coronavirus Gamble Goes Bust
The president of the United States has Covid-19.
It is the most 2020 thing to happen yet in this terrible year, but donât dare say anything dumb like, âWelp, it sure canât get any wilder than this.â Because the lesson of this year is yes, it can. It can always get wilder.Â
Several people around the president, including the first lady and top aide Hope Hicks, also have the coronavirus. Itâs still not clear how or when any of them caught it. Several people at last Saturdayâs ceremony nominating Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court, held outdoors but without social distancing or masks, have since tested positive, including Notre Dameâs president and Senator Mike Lee. (Barrett reportedly [had Covid-19]( a while back but has recovered.)
But then [Trump has been recklessly gambling with the virus for months]( now, Tim OâBrien notes, putting not just himself and his staff and family members (some of whom caught the disease earlier) at risk, but also the entire country, leading to widespread misery and 208,000 deaths so far. Unrepentant, Trump at Tuesdayâs debate mocked Joe Biden for wearing a mask, and his entourage declined to protect themselves and others in the enclosed venue. As a result of such hubris, Tim writes, âthe man who most embodies the conflicts and otherworldliness of 2020 now watches his political future, his personal well-being and his monarchical sense of entitlement circumscribed by a virus wearing a crown.â
Itâs to Trumpâs credit that he promptly announced his coronavirus infection, writes Jonathan Bernstein. Less exemplary is the fact that it took Bloomberg News to first uncover Hicksâs diagnosis and that Trump and his staffers [carried on]( with events even after she got sick. A White House woefully short on trust will [need more transparency if itâs to maintain relative calm]( at a time of such weirdness.
And the weirdness may not nearly be over. Trump reportedly has mild symptoms so far. But if his condition worsens, then he may need to [transfer power to Vice President Mike Pence]( (who has tested negative so far, as has Biden), in a process explained by Cass Sunstein. He had a front-row seat when President Ronald Reagan was temporarily incapacitated by a would-be assassin. That was a deeply weird moment. But itâs got nothing on 2020. And itâs only Oct. 2.
Further Coronavirus Reading: Europe shouldnât be thinking about [letting fans into sporting events]( right now. â Ferdinando GiuglianoÂ
Once More With Feeling: The Economy Needs Help
In what would have been the dayâs biggest news in a normal universe, we got the September jobs report today. It was [not great](. The labor market is no longer hemorrhaging jobs as it was six months ago, but the recovery has slowed. Temporary job losses are turning permanent, and mass layoffs are being announced by Disney, airlines and more. Clearly, suffering workers need more government assistance ASAP. Tim OâBrien and Nir Kaissar propose a federal jobs plan, [paying unemployed workers a living wage](. It wonât be cheap, but letting millions sink into despair would be even more costly.
Nancy Pelosi and a rattled White House are still [talking]( about a new stimulus bill, though Democrats and Republicans still seem far apart. Karl Smith suggests [Biden could step in and broker a deal](, just as candidate Barack Obama did in 2008. Boosting the economy just ahead of the election might benefit Republican incumbents, but voters might also realize they had Biden to thank.
Bonus Economic-Policy Reading: Central bankers are [risking financial upheaval to fight a deflation]( thatâs often actually good. â Richard CooksonÂ
Not Everybody Flees High Taxes
Bond-market guru Jeff Gundlach recently got a lot of attention when he threatened to leave high-tax California for a low-tax state. Such threats always get a lot of attention, maybe because people always daydream about paying less in taxes. And yet [very few people actually do anything about it](, writes Stephen Mihm. Numerous studies have shown people angry about taxes are far more likely to get into local politics than to flee. And other life events â new jobs, new spouses, threats from [drug cartels]( â are far more likely to motivate people to pull up stakes than taxes.
Telltale Charts
China [handled the virus better]( than much of the rest of the world, and its economy is benefiting accordingly, writes Matthew Winkler.
Etsyâs flexibility helped make it the [biggest winner in the S&P 500]( this year, writes Sarah Halzack.Â
Further Reading
Remote learning [could be vastly better for many kids](. Hereâs what needs to change. â Bloombergâs editorial boardÂ
Trumpâs [Covid-19 immigration ban goes too far](, and even the Supreme Court may agree. â Noah FeldmanÂ
The [Bank of Japanâs policy has stagnated](. Itâs time for bold thinking. â Dan Moss
Iraqâs prime minister could [work with the October Revolution]( to push reforms. â Bobby GhoshÂ
Hereâs how women can [avoid financial ruin in a divorce](. â Kimberly Seals AllersÂ
ICYMI
How one piece of hardware [took down a $6 trillion stock market](.
What nobody wants to admit about [investing in art](.
[Japanâs lost generation]( is still living with its parents.
Kickers
Why some [people are still getting sick](, but not with Covid.
[Tree-killing epidemics]( are on the rise.
Successful people [say no to almost everything](.
Why the brain has [an elastic sense of time](.
Note: Please send art and complaints to Mark Gongloff at mgongloff1@bloomberg.net.
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