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Todayâs Agenda
- The Wuhan coronavirus reminds us we [need to prepare]( for the next big outbreak.
- At Davos, the [greenwashing will continue]( until morale improves.
- Trumpâs impeachment [defense is weak](, but Mitch [McConnell is strong](.Â
- The student-debt nightmare may look a [bit less nightmarish](.
This is not a drill.
Photographer: STR/AFP/Getty Images
Time to Get Ready for the Next Pandemic
News that the Wuhan coronavirus can [spread]( from human to human rattled markets early this morning. News of the first [case]( in the U.S. [re-rattled]( them this afternoon. But this should move more than just markets.
This disease, which has killed six people and spread from China to five other countries so far, is not nearly as deadly or economically devastating as the SARS pandemic of 17 years ago. Knock on wood. But itâs a chance to start acting on the lessons the world learned from SARS, writes Andreas Kluth. Because [another pandemic is coming]( one of these days, even if Wuhanâs not it. The two biggest SARS lessons are that governments must be honest about the diseaseâs spread, and politicians and countries must put aside differences to fight it together, Andreas writes. Fortunately, China seems to have learned the first lesson. The juryâs still out on whether an increasingly fractious world will ever learn the second.
A recent study found most countries are [ill-prepared to fight]( a new pandemic, warns Adam Minter. Like nationalism and factionalism, another human trait working against us here is the tendency to respond to such disasters with âpanic and neglectâ â freaking out too much about the latest crisis, then forgetting to get ready for the next one. Â
Davos Man Says, âHow Do You Do, Fellow Kidsâ
If you need further proof of the old adage âThe establishment always wins,â just remember both Greta Thunberg and President Donald Trump [spoke]( today at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
Thunberg is famous for shaming the kind of people who fly private jets to Davos every year and talk about climate change (which we should [start calling âglobal warming](â again, Faye Flam argues), without doing anything about it. Trump expresses an even deeper hostility toward the global elite than Thunberg. And yet there both of them were, rubbing elbows, if not sharing $43 [hot dogs](, with the haut monde. Itâs an example of how the WEF is [co-opting populists]( across the political divide to sustain its brand even in the cancel-culture era, writes Lionel Laurent. There will be many Davos panels about saving the planet, and private jets will have an option of â[sustainable aviation fuel](,â whatever that is. But this greenwashing may simply mean attendees donât have to [fear]( much has to actually change.
The corporate world has recently shifted its focus from serving shareholders to serving the whole world â at least in mission statements. But doing the right thing for the planet [will cost shareholders](, writes Nir Kaissar. And itâs unclear theyâre ready to pay the price. Â
One good thing has come out of Davos: Trump and French President Emmanuel Macron agreed to put a brewing trade spat on ice. Macron promised to suspend a tax on big (read: American) tech companies, and Trump agreed not to hit back with his own tariffs. This [only temporarily freezes]( one trade threat among many, warns Lionel Laurent in a second column. But as with climate change, it feels good to at least pretend youâre making progress.
Further Climate Change Reading: BlackRock Inc. can [pressure Asian sovereigns]( to curb reliance on coal. â Clara Ferreira MarquesÂ
Donât Blink or Youâll Miss the ImpeachmentÂ
Trumpâs impeachment trial began today, which may explain the presidentâs desire to be in Switzerland. Not that he has much to fear: Senate Republicans will probably let him off the hook. The only real question is how painful their votes will be. Ahead of the trial, Trumpâs legal team filed defense memos that offered [weak legal arguments]( and pathetic factual ones, writes Noah Feldman. These certainly wonât make Republicans feel more comfortable acquitting Trump.Â
But they may not have to take such a tough vote. In a second column, Noah Feldman notes Mitch McConnellâs trial rules could let Republicans [throw out all the evidence](, and then dismiss the impeachment for lack of evidence. Neat trick!
Further Impeachment Reading: Four [things to watch]( as the trial begins. â Jonathan BernsteinÂ
Student Loan Load Now Slightly Lighter, Maybe
If you could only write one sentence to describe the Millennial generation, youâd have to work the words âcrushing student loan debtâ into it:
And yet the composition of that ever-rising debt mountain is [much more complicated]( than it seems, writes Brian Chappatta. New students arenât borrowing as much as they once did. But the amount outstanding keeps growing partly because many borrowers are stretching out payments to better match incomes. That could make this burden a little easier to bear.
Telltale Charts
Top-line economic indicators sure look good these days. But inequality and other structural problems that were never really addressed after the Great Recession [are still around](, making the long-term outlook less rosy, writes Noah Smith.
Many countries [face shrinking populations](, which threatens future economic growth, but encouraging people to have more babies isnât the answer, writes Leonid Bershidsky.
Further Reading
China is investing in the kinds of projects that [lure its scientists back home](. â Adam MinterÂ
Western asset managers could [thrive in an opened China](. â Shuli RenÂ
Americaâs single-family housing fixation is [unusual and unhelpful](, but itâs starting to finally go away. â Justin FoxÂ
Itâs almost time to start worrying about a [no-deal Brexit again](. â Therese RaphaelÂ
âDow 36,000â now [isnât as completely insane]( as it once seemed, but itâs still fundamentally wrong. â Aaron BrownÂ
Israelâs [Auschwitz commemoration]( is alienating the U.S. and Poland while favoring Russia. â Eli LakeÂ
[Suicide prevention]( is overdue for life-saving research. â Faye FlamÂ
ICYMI
Boeing Co. now says the 737 Max [wonât fly again]( until mid-year.
Hedge funds [not led by white men]( outperform peers 2-to-1.
Global warming: the [real-time data](.
Kickers
How to [retrieve AirPods]( from a subway grate. (h/t Scott Kominers)
Our food may be [stressing us out](.
Singer apologizes, closes eyes, [dies onstage](.
Eddie Murphy got [bad comedy advice]( from Rodney Dangerfield.
Note: Please send bad comedy advice and complaints to Mark Gongloff at mgongloff1@bloomberg.net.
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