The US housing market, thatâs what. [Bloomberg](
This is Bloomberg Opinion Today, a supply-constrained market of Bloomberg Opinionâs opinions. [Sign up here](. Todayâs Agenda - Buying [a house]( is a pain.
- A [daily walk]( is good for the brain.
- [Remittances](Â really make it rain.
- â[Free Gaza?](â Please explain. [Housing Beef]( Uhhh, is Drake gonna have to sell his home? Although I will make no attempt to explain the origins of [his beef]( with Kendrick Lamar, I do wonder if heâll keep his 50,000 square-foot [limestone McMansion]( in after this rap battle. The album art for Kendrickâs fourth diss track, â[Not Like Us](,â shows an aerial view of Drakeâs abode with a smattering of [sex offender icons]( all over it: Now, Kendrick fans are [wreaking havoc]( on Google Maps by putting suggestive [location markers]( around his estate: Luckily, Drake [owns]( three other houses â all of them in Los Angeles â so he can flee from Canada and escape the trolls if he so pleases. But not everyone else in need of a place to stay is so lucky. In the US, the housing supply is tight and consumer confidence in mortgage rates hasnât been [this depressed]( in decades. Robert Burgess [says]( âyou have to go back to the dark days of the early 1980sâ â before Aubrey Drake Graham was even born â âto find the last time Americans in the University of Michiganâs monthly sentiment survey were so downbeat when asked whether it was a good time to buy a home.â Just today, a new Federal Reserve Bank of New York [survey]( showed that half of renters under the age of 50 donât think they will be able to buy a home in their lifetime â an all-time high. One big reason for that pessimism: the US doesnât have enough housing. By one estimate, the country needs [an extra 3.2 million homes]( to meet demand. And thatâs not to mention the half a million homeless people who need a roof over their heads, too. In [a new video op-ed](, Kyla Scanlon says âwe donât just need more homes, we need more [affordable]( homes.â The Drakes of this world are not the demographic at issue. A [recent report]( from Redfin tells us as much: The total number of luxury homes for sale rose 12.6% year-over-year, compared with a 2.9% decline in non-luxury properties. âBut not everyone can afford a luxury home,â she says, which is why we need to build more townhomes, duplexes and triplexes. Matthew Yglesias wholeheartedly [agrees](. âTwelve years ago, I wrote a book called [The Rent Is Too Damn High]( â¦Â my basic argument can [be summarized]( in three words: Build more housing,â he writes. But less than 40% of voters think that a greater supply of housing would moderate prices. Instead, [people want]( things like rent control, government subsidies and property tax cuts will help keep costs under control. But in the words of Miss Sabrina Carpenter, those things are all [nonsense](, economically speaking. âIf you push subsidies into a supply-constrained market, prices will go up in response, and youâll be left right where you started,â he explains. The solutions arenât quick and easy. Robert says we must âfind a way to bolster consumer confidenceâ and Matthew suggests âquiet bipartisanship â motivated state legislators and governors working together â rather than noisy partisan coalitions.â Too bad [the odds](of our elected officials actually doing their jobs are about [as low]( as a Kendrick-Drake resolution. [Take a Walk]( Are you one of Those People who tracks how many steps you walk each day? Justin Fox is, and [he says]( he surpasses 10,000 most days without really trying. But thatâs because he lives in [New York City]( and his commute often includes a walk across Central Park. Oh, and he also [owns a dog](, which, duh: But most Americans donât live in [15-minute cities](. They take six-lane highways to work and rarely close their [Apple Watch rings]( each day. And itâs not just adults. Schoolchildren in the US, too, suffer from a lack of physical activity: It wasnât always this way. During pre-Industrial Revolution times, people walked an [estimated]( 10,000 to 18,000 steps a day. But [by 2010](, that figure had dwindled to an average 5,117 daily steps. âThe explanation for the decline in walking since the 1960s and Americansâ below-average international showing seems clear: Itâs cars,â Justin writes. But even if you live in a car-centric city or a remote town, Justin says there will always be a certain subset of people who take a walk every day. âSome people will exercise a lot no matter where they are, but places where even those at the low end of the walking scale get in a respectable number of steps are likely to have better health outcomes,â he writes. In a [2017 smartphone-based study](, the US ranked the fifth-highest among 46 countries for âactivity inequalityâ â a measurement of the disparity in daily steps among a population â behind only Saudi Arabia, Australia, Canada and Egypt. âAmerica wasnât made for walking, and itâs killing us,â Justin concludes. Read [the whole thing]( â¦Â or, even better, listen to it in audio form while youâre walking your dog. Bonus Pedestrian Reading: The [random walk hypothesis]( helps us understand the five strange weeks that have started the second quarter. â John Authers Telltale Charts In 2023 alone, Latin Americans received an [estimated]( $156 billion in remittances, more than what the World Bank Group [lends]( to developing countries every year and more than all the [outstanding loans]( that the International Monetary Fund has to almost 100 countries. Itâs a financial revolution that Juan Pablo Spinetto [says](, âis beginning to have an outsize impact, from sustaining consumption levels to helping balance current accounts in small nations and avoid debt defaults.â Consider the fact that remittances in El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras and Nicaragua represent between 20% and 30% of gross domestic product â easily on par with money generated via taxes and government spending. Who needs a stuffy old trade pact when you have a brother living in Omaha who can Venmo you a couple of Franklins every payday? The tide is turning against the student activists. Not only has Columbia [canceled]( its commencement ceremony, protesters at the University of Florida [now face]( a three-year suspension if they so much as litter, [fall asleep]( or leave their posters unattended. The discourse has somehow devolved into [suggesting]( that instead of calling for divestment, kids on campus should lay off [the avocado toast]( and buy a controlling stake in [Raytheon]( (using [Klarna](, probably). But while funding Americaâs militaryâindustrial complex sounds beyond extreme, Marc Champion [says]( the protesters could at least revisit the messaging on their posters: âWhen I see âFree Gazaâ placards on US campuses, I can only ask, from whom? The Israel Defense Forces, for sure, but Palestinians also need liberation from Hamas,â he writes. Although Hamas won a round of elections in 2006 (the aftermath of which was a bloody coup), there hasnât been a vote since. âWhat polling we have suggests the war has boosted Hamasâs standing in Gaza, which is hardly surprising, but also that given an alternative to the current crop of Hamas and Palestinian Authority leaders, Gazaâs voters would choose it.â Further Reading Free read: [Hope Hicksâ tears]( are a rare sight in Trumpâs world. â Timothy L. O'Brien Free read: The [neutrality of Civil War]( offers Democrats a rare opportunity. â Frank Barry Bill Gross may have conquered bonds, but [diversification]( still reigns supreme. â Aaron Brown The relationship between [MAGA and racing]( is no longer marketable. â Adam Minter Propaganda doesnât need to go viral to [sway elections]( anymore. â Parmy Olson Berkshire Hathawayâs days as [a pop-culture phenomenon]( are numbered. â Justin Fox Rishi Sunak limps on as [the best leader]( the Tories have. â Martin Ivens Todayâs decision-makers fail to grasp [the right lessons]( from history. â Niall Ferguson ICYMI Itâs the first [Monday in May](. Judges wonât hire [Columbia law clerks](. Treasuries mint [$2 million per minute](. Women are working [more than ever](. Issa Rae is promoting [diverse creators](. Kickers Did we find [Adrienne from Brooklyn](? [A baguette]( is baked in France. Tom Brady got [ripped apart](. âPure Irish Butterâ is [not so pure](. [Mocktails]( are for the kids. Notes: Please send baguettes, butter and feedback to Jessica Karl at jkarl9@bloomberg.net. [Sign up here]( and follow us on [Threads](, [TikTok](, [Twitter](, [Instagram]( and [Facebook](. Follow Us Like getting this newsletter? [Subscribe to Bloomberg.com]( for unlimited access to trusted, data-driven journalism and subscriber-only insights. Before itâs here, itâs on the Bloomberg Terminal. Find out more about how the Terminal delivers information and analysis that financial professionals canât find anywhere else. [Learn more](. Want to sponsor this newsletter? [Get in touch here](. You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Opinion Today newsletter. If a friend forwarded you this message, [sign up here]( to get it in your inbox.
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