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What’s next for Elon Musk

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Mon, Dec 27, 2021 12:13 PM

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Hey y’all, it’s Austin in Boston. Elon Musk has a full plate for 2022, but first… Tod

Hey y’all, it’s Austin in Boston. Elon Musk has a full plate for 2022, but first… Today’s top tech news: More companies pulled out of CES 5G [View in browser]( [Bloomberg]( Hey y’all, it’s Austin in Boston. Elon Musk has a full plate for 2022, but first… Today’s top tech news: - More companies [pulled out of CES]( - 5G could [impact aircraft safety systems]( - Intel will [expand in Europe]( Rocketing into the new year “[It was Elon Musk’s year](,” roared a [range]( of [news]( [publications](. Shares of Tesla Inc. soared to [all-time highs](, and Space Exploration Technologies Corp. soared to literal highs with [inspiring strides]( in the [modern space race](. Musk’s other companies barreled ahead with [brain implants]( and new approaches to [underground transportation](. Can [the world’s richest man]( keep the momentum going in 2022? The journey ahead is lined with speed bumps and dangerous curves. They will be made inevitably more perilous because Musk is seemingly incapable of moving at any speed less than [Ludicrous mode](. Below, a brief list of roadblocks Musk will have to navigate in the year ahead: 1. Reduce the empty promises Musk frequently takes a fake-it-until-you-make-it approach to innovation, usually by unveiling some magical product, overhyping its market readiness and then eventually (usually) delivering after years of delays and criticism. This might have been palatable when he was aggressively running a startup but not so much when he [leads a public company]( with a market value of about $1 trillion. This hype machine isn’t without consequences. There’s [serious risk]( to Tesla for selling customers a $10,000 Full Self-Driving system that isn’t actually capable of full self-driving. And, even if it hasn’t substantially harmed his reputation thus far, Musk will lose credibility if he unveils another robot that’s [actually a person in tights](. The [Cybertruck](, [Tesla Semi]( and [next-generation Roadster]( have all have faced significant production delays, and Musk will have to manage 2022’s supply chain, [reliability issues]( and [battery procurement]( to avoid further setbacks. To be sure, Musk-style futurism is generally fine when they’re within a sort of “[other bets](” category (e.g., [Neuralink](, [Boring Co.]( and so on). But with competition heating up in electric vehicles, Musk’s too-early product unveilings could become a disadvantage, especially if his rivals are able to deliver on those types of products sooner than Tesla. 2. Minimize government headaches Musk is often a troll. It can be funny to some but alarming to Tesla shareholders, who have watched him pick fights with [Bernie Sanders]( (“I keep forgetting you’re still alive”), [Elizabeth Warren]( (“Senator Karen”) and the [White House](. It’s difficult to see how such an adversarial relationship with U.S. officials will help Tesla, especially as it’s already under scrutiny from the nation’s automotive and [securities regulators](. Sure, it might help to [burnish his relationship with Republicans]( but at what cost? The antagonism seems especially precarious given [SpaceX’s dependence on government contracts](. Musk has been more [thoughtful about Tesla’s European factory expansion]( and [more diplomatic]( ([if not deferential]() in China. Neither strategy has [gone]( [perfectly](, but it’s a more prudent approach compared with his Twitter trolling stateside. 3. Don’t forget the “Master Plan” In 2006, Musk famously outlined his “[secret](” plan for Tesla, which mostly charted how the company would go from building an electric sports car to delivering an affordable EV for the masses. Equally important to that strategy, as he [reemphasized in a 2016 blog post](, was energy generation: solar power and integrated battery storage. But since then, his flagship [solar product has failed to take off](; Tesla’s [Buffalo, New York, solar factory]( [continues to disappoint](; and the [storage vertical remains small](. Until he can turn on Tesla’s energy business, his “Master Plan” will not be complete. If he can overcome some or all of these challenges next year, expect 2022 to be even brighter for Musk and his businesses. If not, well, [there’s always Dogecoin](. —[Austin Carr](mailto:acarr54@bloomberg.net) If you read one thing Shopify outfoxed Amazon to become the everywhere store. Tobi Lütke transformed his Canadian company into an online shopping giant by [being the anti-Bezos](. What you need to know Intel asked suppliers not to use labor from Xinjiang, and then apologized. Now caught in a geopolitical storm, a [popular Chinese boy band cut ties]( with the company, and the White House [extended a rebuke]( for the apology. The U.S. now outlaws goods from Xinjiang unless proven they weren’t made through the exploitation of Uyghurs. Amazon settled with the U.S. labor board, agreeing to inform workers of their right to join unions and [allow them to organize]( in the company’s facilities after hours. Chinese tech giants are running from regulators. Facing an antitrust crackdown, Tencent will [distribute more than $16 billion]( of JD.com shares as a dividend, and [Alibaba admitted it was slow]( to report a cybersecurity vulnerability after a regulator chastised the company. TikTok stars made the jump to bigger screens this year, but success of those projects [has been limited](, the New York Times reported. Follow Us More from Bloomberg Dig gadgets or video games? [Sign up for Power On]( to get Apple scoops, consumer tech news and more in your inbox on Sundays. [Sign up for Game On]( to go deep inside the video game business, delivered on Fridays. Why not try both? Like Fully Charged? | [Get unlimited access to Bloomberg.com](, where you'll find trusted, data-based journalism in 120 countries around the world and expert analysis from exclusive daily newsletters. You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Fully Charged newsletter. If a friend forwarded you this message, [sign up here]( to get it in your inbox. [Unsubscribe]( [Bloomberg.com]( [Contact Us]( Bloomberg L.P. 731 Lexington Avenue, New York, NY 10022 [Ads Powered By Liveintent]( [Ad Choices](

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