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Hey all, itâs Natalia in Brussels. The online food delivery sector has emerged as one of the few industries to flourish during the pandemic, as restaurants stay shut and people get tired of pasta.
But will the coronavirus boost in orders be enough for these companies to finally turn a profit?
This earnings season saw sales soar. Last week, when Uber Technologies Inc. reported its second-quarter earnings, it recorded a [103% jump]( in delivery revenue from the previous yearâvaulting delivery sales higher than those of Uber's battered ride-hailing business for the first time ever. Meanwhile, Grubhub Inc.'s revenue ticked up more than 40% and its active diners for the quarter grew 35%. And Germanyâs Delivery Hero raised its 2020 sales forecast after orders [nearly doubled]( during the pandemic.
But Uber and Grubhub lost $837Â million and $45.4 million for the quarter, respectively. And analysts expect Delivery Hero to lose more than $800 million for the year.
Rising competitive pressure has changed the global delivery landscape. Itâs triggered waves of consolidation in the industry, and forced the hand of traditional marketplace companies like Just Eat Takeaway.com NV and its soon-to-be-acquired Grubhub. Traditionally, the Dutch company simply matched hungry customers to restaurants, and let the restaurants deliver themselvesâa model thatâs allowed it to be more profitable than its peers. More recently, it's incorporated its competitorsâ model of direct delivery, despite the high costs.
Both Just Eat Takeaway and Grubhub executives say the marketplace model (and skipping the actual delivery logistics) is the only one that will turn a profit. But they also say they have to invest in providing direct delivery to get access to restaurants that donât have their own services, thereby keeping customers happy.
The pandemic itself has also created headaches for food delivery platforms. The new danger of everyday work has forced the companies to take steps to provide drivers with personal protective equipment, and the general economic slowdown will unfortunately lead to more restaurants closing up shop for good, paring back the number of potential clients. Some U.S. cities have also capped the commission fees, which can run up to 30% of each order, that platforms charge restaurants.
Still, as virus fears linger, delivery looks like an increasingly irresistible optionâduring the lockdowns and beyond. Part of the platformsâ marketing costs go toward convincing customers and restaurants to change their behavior, something the pandemic has fast-tracked. An industry rule of thumb says that if a customer orders three times within eight months, theyâre locked in as a food delivery customer.
If my householdâs quarantine habits are any indication, then Iâm guessing these platforms will gain a lot of converts.â[Natalia Drozdiak](mailto:ndrozdiak1@bloomberg.net)
If you read one thing
A California judge issued a preliminary injunction requiring Uber and Lyft to convert their drivers there into [employees with benefits](, a ruling that could upend the companies' business models in the state. The ride-hailing giants are expected to appeal.Â
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