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Trump says U.S. is still talking with China, investors ready for a week of central bank speculation,

[Bloomberg]( Trump says U.S. is still talking with China, investors ready for a week of central bank speculation, and European politics are still a mess. No deal… yet President Donald Trump said the U.S. is “[doing very well with China](” and that talks between both sides are continuing, while signalling that he isn’t ready to sign a trade deal yet. Speaking to reporters in New Jersey yesterday, Trump also said he would make a decision today on renewing licenses for U.S. companies to trade with Huawei Technologies Co. The tariffs already in place are [putting Apple Inc. at a competitive disadvantage]( relative to its chief competitor Samsung Electronics, the company’s CEO Tim Cook told Trump over dinner on Friday, with the president saying he made a “good case.” Jackson Hole This week is likely to be dominated by monetary speculation across three continents. The People’s Bank of China announced that from tomorrow new loans must be priced “mainly” to a revamped [benchmark]( called the Loan Prime Rate, seen as another move toward market-based interest rates. In Europe, [weaker-than-forecast inflation]( numbers this morning will only serve to increase speculation about further European Central Bank easing at the September meeting. Finally, it is Jackson Hole conference week, with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s [address on Friday]( expected to all but confirm another rate cut next month. Sponsor Content by Hewlett Packard Enterprise Do you think your passwords are secure? Complexity, uniqueness, and periodic change have long been the top best practices for passwords, but new recommendations have led to policy changes. Experts now suggest placing more emphasis on checking passwords against known weak password lists and focusing less on expiration policies. [Here are the current best practices in use]([.](  Brexit, Salvini U.K. opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn promised to do “[everything necessary](” to prevent a no-deal Brexit as the odds of a snap [general election]( remain high. It comes after Corbyn’s idea to install himself as a temporary Prime Minister failed to gain enough support. Meanwhile, the drama in Italy continues, with the strongest indication yet that Deputy Premier Matteo Salvini’s push for power is running into trouble. Leading members of the opposition Democratic Party said [they should support]( anti-establishment Five Star Movement’s fight against Salvini’s efforts to push out Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte. In surprising news, German Finance Minister Olaf Scholz is talking about the possibility of [increasing spending]( should an economic crisis hit the country. Markets rise Overnight, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.8% while Japan’s Topix index closed 0.6% higher as optimism over the trade outlook was boosted by Trump’s comments. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 Index gained 0.6% by 5:50 a.m. Eastern Time with trade hopes again the catalyst for the move. It’s a similar story in the U.S. where S&P futures [pointed to a positive open](, the 10-year Treasury yield was at 1.623% and gold slipped below $1,500. Coming up… It’s the Monday of the third week in August, so needless to say, things are very quiet. There is no economic data of note scheduled for the U.S. today. In earnings, Baidu Inc. and Weibo Corp. are about the only reports of note. If you’re looking for something interesting to do, it might be fun to [slowly track the freshly re-named Iranian tanker]( as it makes its way across the Mediterranean. What we've been reading This is what's caught our eye over the weekend. - Odd Lots: John Hempton on [what’s ailing bank stocks](. - Cancelling student debt [would hurt economy](, NABE survey shows. - These nations [faced bankruptcy](. Now their bonds yield nothing. - China missiles could overwhelm U.S. military “[in hours](.” - Would ECB [buying equities]( really be a good idea? - Korea to probe sales of product that risks [wiping out investors](. - Astronomers closer to cracking mystery of [fast radio bursts](. And finally, here’s what Luke's interested in this morning A cheer could be heard across global markets on Friday upon news that Germany was willing to [revisit]( the tightness of its self-imposed fiscal straitjacket. Ten-year bund and Treasury yields are nearly up 10 basis points since the Der Spiegel report that Germany would loosen its budget pursestrings if the economy falls into recession. Finance Minister Olaf Scholz later [added]( the fiscal response could be in the order of support provided following the financial crisis, if needed. Not to spoil the party, but this situation raises the question of just how negative the market’s base case is. Europe’s biggest economy has to see output fall for back-to-back quarters – something the data won’t tell us until mid-November – for a fiscal push to be considered. And that’s good news! "We think it would require a significant deterioration of the labor market to trigger bold fiscal action, which hard data does not support,” writes economists Barbara Bottcher and Dieter Brauninger. Contrast the approaches of the Federal Reserve – the most common scapegoat whenever anything goes wrong in markets or the economy – and the German government when it comes to avoiding and mitigating hardship. Chair Jerome Powell believes an ounce of [prevention]( is worth a pound of cure. German fiscal policy makers remain committed to allowing the disease to fester before any medicine is administered. As such, one wonders if this combination raises the possibility of a perverse “bad news is good news” relationship between German data and financial markets in the works. The Federal Reserve is willing to be proactive, but Angela Merkel is not. Like Bloomberg's Five Things? [Subscribe for unlimited access]( to trusted, data-based journalism in 120 countries around the world and gain expert analysis from exclusive daily newsletters, The Bloomberg Open and The Bloomberg Close. Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal. Find out more about how the Terminal delivers information and analysis that financial professionals can't find anywhere else. [Learn more](. [FOLLOW US [Facebook Share]]( [Twitter Share]( [SEND TO A FRIEND [Share with a friend]]( You received this message because you are subscribed to Bloomberg's Five Things newsletter. [Unsubscribe]( | [Bloomberg.com]( | [Contact Us]( Bloomberg L.P. 731 Lexington, New York, NY, 10022

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