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Forward Guidance Korean leaders agree to end war, it's GDP day, and Merkel goes to Washington.

[Bloomberg Markets]( [FOLLOW US [Facebook Share]]([Twitter Share]( [SUBSCRIBE [Subscribe]](  Forward Guidance  Korean leaders agree to end war, it's GDP day, and Merkel goes to Washington. Give peace a chance Kim Jong Un became the first North Korean leader to [cross the border]( to the South today in a watershed breakthrough in the nuclear-armed peninsula. They agreed to declare [an end to the war]( this year, and to aim for complete denuclearization. While markets have [welcomed the meeting]( and the announcements, there remains a view that the potential summit between President Donald Trump and Kim remains the bigger event. GDP At 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, first-quarter GDP for the U.S. is released, with economists surveyed by Bloomberg expecting a slowdown to 2 percent growth over the period. Core PCE -- the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation -- is expected to quicken to 2.5 percent, a number that would lead to lively discussion at next week’s [Fed meeting](. GDP data released in Europe this morning showed a [slowdown in euro-area]( growth, and almost a complete [stop to U.K. expansion](. Merkel’s turn After French President Emmanuel Macron’s visit to Washington earlier this week [failed to convince]( Trump to change his mind on the Iran deal, today, German leader Angela Merkel gets her chance to try to sway the U.S. leader on the issue, and maybe also steer him away from[ trade warÂ](with Europe. The chances of a U.S. withdrawal from the Iran agreement and the possibility of Iranian retaliation are still keeping a [floor under oil prices](. Markets mixed Overnight, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.6 percent, while Japan’s Topix index closed 0.3 percent higher after the Bank of Japan left its [policy stance unchanged](. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 Index was broadly unchanged at 5:30 a.m., with the gauge on track for its fifth consecutive week of gains. S&P 500 futures were [broadly unchanged](, the 10-year Treasury yield was at 2.970 percent and gold was slightly higher. Earnings Tech earnings yesterday put smiles on lots of faces as [Amazon.com Inc.](, [Intel Corp.](, and [Microsoft Corp.]( all beat expectations. Today is the [turn of big oil]( to dominate proceedings, with Exxon Mobil Corp. and Chevron Corp. both reporting. Oil watchers will also be keeping an eye on today’s Baker Hughes rig count which has been on a [strong run recently](. Here's what you should read today - The flatter [U.S. yield curve]( is roiling mom and pop investors. - Trump tax windfall [going to capex]( way faster than stock buybacks. - Venezuela's inflation is so extreme it's [broken the stock market](. - A Brexit choice between [bad and worse](. - Facebook says there may be [more data leaks](. - Trump warns other nations [not to undermine]( the U.S. World Cup bid. - Listening to [the sea](. Sponsored by MarketAxess [MarketAxess created OpenTrading™](- empowering institutional investors and broker-dealers to trade directly with one another. In the process, over 1,300 global institutions have created the Open Market. Here, they’ll find enhanced liquidity, real cost savings, better pricing and seamless integration.   And finally, here’s what Lorcan’s interested in this morning There’s not much to be said about global monetary policy at the moment, other than it is firmly in the “boring” part of the cycle. Yesterday, we saw no news from the ECB, and no news from the Riksbank, with a promise from the latter that news we thought might be coming will be delayed further. Overnight, there was no news from the Bank of Japan, either. There’s a Fed meeting next week that may or may not produce news. While almost everyone agrees that boring central banks are a good thing, they are, well, boring. For a moment, I was slightly concerned that I might be unfairly critical of the current excitement levels, or lack thereof, so I pulled out a chart of ECB interest rates and balance-sheet assets. Looking at the data, the bank has been on a three-year cycle since the 2008 crisis that runs something like: Year 1, ‘There, that’s fixed it.’ Year 2, ‘It’ll be fine.’ Year 3, ‘It’s not fine.’ This loop has started three times since 2008, marked by the red lines below. We are now in year four of the previous three-year cycle, which I guess means that they have actually fixed it, for now.   Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal Find out more about how the Terminal delivers information and analysis that financial professionals can't find anywhere else. [Learn more.](   You received this message because you are subscribed to the Bloomberg Markets newsletter.   [Unsubscribe]( | [Bloomberg.com]( | [Contact Us]( Bloomberg L.P. 731 Lexington, New York, NY, 10022

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