85 percent of both Democratic and Republican incumbents win their state legislative primaries

Plus: Nearly 100 statewide ballot measures certified for 2018 ballots & How are term limits impacting competitiveness in state legislative elections? 85 percent of both Democratic and Republican incumbents win their state legislative primaries Ten states have held statewide primaries in 2018 - more than 20 percent of the way through the primary season. Let’s check in and see what the landscape looks for incumbents in state legislatures. - 37 incumbents have been defeated in state legislative primary elections in 2018. - Fourteen Democratic incumbents were defeated. - This means that of all Democratic incumbents who participated in a primary, 85.6 percent won. - Twenty-three Republican incumbents were defeated; of all Republican incumbents participating in a primary, 85 percent won. - In states that have held filing deadlines, 27.7 percent of Democratic incumbents and 22.5 percent of Republican incumbents are facing primary opposition. Thus far, these figures line-up with historical trends. Historically, incumbents who run for re-election rarely lose in the primary—around 12 percent. Generally, another 8 percent of the remaining incumbents will be defeated in the general election. - In 2016, a total of 123 incumbents were defeated in primary elections; - In 2014, 131 incumbents were defeated in primaries; - And in 2012, 194 incumbents were defeated in primaries (many of those races were incumbent-vs-incumbent resulting from redistricting). [Learn more]( [Forward This](mailto:?&cc=info@Ballotpedia.org&subject=Check out this info I found from Ballotpedia&body= [blank][Tweet This]( [blank][blank][Send to Facebook]( --------------------------------------------------------------- [blank] Nearly 100 statewide ballot measures certified for 2018 ballots [Ballot measures certified] Ninety-six statewide ballot measures in 30 states have been certified for 2018 ballots so far. In the last month, 28 new statewide measures were certified to go before voters in 2018. Of the 28 measures certified, four were citizen initiatives, eight were constitutional amendments referred to the ballot by the Florida Constitution Revision Commission, and the remaining 16 were measures referred to the ballot by state legislatures. The four citizen initiatives were a drug price standards initiative in South Dakota, a payroll tax initiative to fund home care in Maine, an $8.877 billion water infrastructure bond in California, and a salmon habitat protection standards and permit initiative in Alaska. Read about all this and more in Ballotpedia’s State Ballot Measure Monthly, your exclusive one-stop-shop for everything about statewide ballot measures. [Learn more→]( --------------------------------------------------------------- How are term limits impacting competitiveness in state legislative elections? Day 5 in our week-long journey into legislative competitiveness data - we hope you’ve enjoyed the ride as much as we have! Open seats tend to draw more competitors than when an incumbent runs for re-election because incumbents in state legislative elections usually win. Ballotpedia found that in state legislative elections between 1972 and 2014, the incumbency win rate never fell below 90 percent, with the exception of 1974 when 88 percent of incumbents won re-election. Fifteen states in the U.S. use term-limits for state legislators. All of them will hold elections in 2018 except for Louisiana. In these states, 271 state legislators are ineligible to run for re-election in 2018 due to term limits. Republicans have twice as many term-limited state legislators than Democrats; 86 Democrats are term-limited, while that number is 177 for Republicans. [Term limited legislators by state] Ninety-six state senators in 12 state senates are term-limited in 2018. Twenty-eight of them are Democrats, 62 are Republicans, and six are nonpartisan. The Democratic Party is the majority party in one of the 12 term-limited state senates with elections in 2018, while the Republican Party is the majority in 10 of the 12 state senates. Nebraska's state Senate has term-limited members but it is officially nonpartisan. One hundred seventy-five state representatives are term-limited in 2018. Fifty-eight of them are Democrats, 115 are Republicans, and two are independent. The Democratic Party is the majority party in four of the 12 term-limited state houses with elections in 2018, while the Republican Party holds the majority in eight of the 12 state houses. [Learn more→]( Ballotpedia depends on the support of our readers. The Lucy Burns Institute, publisher of Ballotpedia, is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization. All donations are tax deductible to the extent of the law. 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