How to Trade Global Markets — The Opportunities and Pitfalls

As we make our way through recessions, whether they are soft-landings, hard-landings, or creative landings, it is helpful for US traders to [image] How to Trade Global Markets — The Opportunities and Pitfalls As we make our way through recessions, whether they are soft-landings, hard-landings, or creative landings, it is helpful for US traders to understand how global markets are moving alongside our own. After all, regardless of their size and development, they are made up of buyers and sellers, consumers and producers, and humans of all types – much like Americans. Their contributions – and their problems – have the opportunity to impact many markets. One has to look no further than the devastating events between Ukraine and Russia to get a quick grasp on what I’m talking about. Understanding global markets might also prove profitable if you pay attention to a few key factors. Let’s get started… For good reason, US traders are curious about global markets. Often, international ETFs and stocks show more resilience than US ETFs at different times, but then again, often they don’t. Let’s start with a list… Here’s a list of country ETFs compiled by Bespoke at the end of Q2. You can create your own watch list of the countries you’d like to follow based on the symbols below. [image] While I don’t trade all country ETFs, I do like to keep an ongoing view of how they are doing. Like breaking down a broad market into sectors, just as I wrote above, they each represent a community of businesses, people, and governments of various sizes and vacillating importance. Take a look at India (ETF: INDA), the US (ETF: SPY), and Mexico (ETF: EWW). For Q2 2023, they are in the top six strongest markets. Year to date (YTD), the US and Mexico are also in the top six. To be clear, Mexico is the number one country YTD at a 25.98% increase. Did you know that? All three are within range of new 52-week highs. The key in trading any country ETF is to watch volume and gaps. A market like Hong Kong (EWH) is large, but the ETF trades with lots of gaps. This can make it unnerving to trade. [image] As the world changes and progresses through various economic cycles, it is helpful to stay in front of headlines when it comes to global markets. For example, INDA (India) and EWW (Mexico) are currently on the opposite end of the spectrum from MCHI (China) based on the first chart above. Will they take China’s place? Will they at least emerge as strong competitors? The devil is in the details – Dive as deep as you like. If you like a lot of information, here’s a chart from Bespoke to digest with a bottomless cup of coffee. It summarizes a good deal of economic activity by country at the end of Q2. [image] Is the US able to keep up with necessary skilled labor in fields like engineering and biology? Reports from CEOs and boards suggest it is not. 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