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Another price war is right around the corner...

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Fri, Apr 7, 2017 05:18 PM

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Energy and Capital editor Keith Kohl sheds some light on the probable outcome of the next oil price

Energy and Capital editor Keith Kohl sheds some light on the probable outcome of the next oil price war between the market's biggest combatants. Another price war is right around the corner... [Keith Kohl Photo] By [Keith Kohl]( Written Friday, April 7, 2017 We all knew the spirit of cooperation had to die some time. And with OPEC at the helm, its days were numbered from the start. Last year, when both cartel members and non-members banded together to cut crude oil output, I’ll admit I was shocked. As much as the world needed it, who knew these combatants could set aside their differences for the greater good? Of course, now they’re at each other’s throats again, fighting over the same old thing... Can’t Share Market Share Now that the oil is leveling out, with WTI sticking around $50, the need for active market balancing is waning. At least in the eyes of its biggest players, namely Saudi Arabia and Russia. For decades, the two countries have had the biggest sway of any global oil producers. They had the production numbers and weren’t afraid to use them to their advantage. Then, everything changed when U.S. shale came to town. Elon Musk's $16 Billion Mistake He’s one of the most famous business tycoons of our time. His car company, which launched a highly controversial sports car just before the recession of 2008, is now the biggest electrical vehicle maker on the planet. His $5 billion "Gigafactory" will soon account for more than half of all global lithium-ion battery production. But this one mistake may end it all. Find out what Elon Musk did while managing his biggest and most important company... and how it may cost him everything. [Click here.]( They’ve both had to give up market share to the world’s newest swing producer just to keep their countries from falling into financial ruin... And now they’re back to competing with each other to get that market share back. Already, both are courting customers in Asia, where oil consumption is expected to grow the fastest over the next few years. But there’s one market that’s been overlooked for quite a while, and now it is seeing a pickup in demand once more: Europe. Oil demand in Europe has been nearly flat, even slipping slightly lower for more than a decade. But in both 2015 and 2016, it picked back up. It’s not half as impressive as what we’re seeing in China right now, but it’s an important switch in attitude, one that could spark a price war across a number of European countries. This year, Saudi Arabia has been offering its crude supplies to European buyers at discounted prices, much like it has to Asian buyers. This could be what breaks the deal between OPEC and non-OPEC members... The reason: Europe is Russia’s territory. [Russia Oil Exports] The country supplies more than 41% of Europe’s oil and gas imports, and Europe and Eurasian countries account for more than 70% of Russia’s oil exports. That’s a lot of business on both ends at stake. We’re already seeing a similar situation play out in China... will Europe pick Saudi Arabia over Russia, too? The Google Profit Loophole Google stock is pretty pricey... sitting around $700 per share right now. However, if you know about the profit loophole known as "Internet Royalties," you could actually bank $2,058 per month. You don’t have to own Google stock either. And you don’t have to sign up for any programs or fill out any forms. The best part is you can get started for less than $100. [Check out how to get started collecting these "royalties" today.]( The Deal with Crude There are a lot of things to take into consideration when buying crude oil; price is just a single factor, if a pretty important one. Another factor that countries take into account when buying oil in bulk is the grade of the crude. Generally speaking, there are two weights: heavy and light. Heavy crude is defined as any oil with an API (density as compared to water) above 20 degrees. That means it’s literally heavier, usually due to an abundance of excess sulfur or other natural contaminants. As you can probably guess, this means light crude is essentially cleaner from the start. Usually, light crude will fetch a higher price on the market for this very reason. The lighter it is, the easier it becomes for refiners to turn it into gasoline or other petroleum products. Heavy crude is more expensive to refine, so it gets sold at a discount, and only to buyers who have the equipment to handle it. This, I believe, is the only thing keeping Saudi Arabia from well and truly taking over the world. You see, while the country has access to both light and heavy crude, most of its spare production capacity is poor-quality heavy oil. Russia, on the other hand, often exports what it calls the Urals blend. This is a mix of heavy and light crude, both of which the country has in abundance, which comes out to be a medium-grade product with two major benefits: it's still relatively easy to refine, and it's still cheaper than higher grades. Even if Saudi Arabia can bring its prices way down, cutting into its own profits in the process, there’s no guarantee that what it’s selling will even be something European buyers can use... Waging the War What’s funny is that while Saudi Arabia is selling cheap crude to Europe, it increased prices on imports to the U.S. I guess it’s still a little bitter about the whole shale boom thing. The bottom line is that the country knows it needs more business to make up for what it’s losing to U.S. drillers, and it knows which markets it wants to target. Whether or not it actually succeeds — and how this battle will affect the current output cut — is something we’ll just have to wait to see. Until next time, [Keith Kohl Signature] Keith Kohl [[follow basic]@KeithKohl1 on Twitter]( A true insider in the energy markets, Keith is one of few financial reporters to have visited the Alberta oil sands. His research has helped thousands of investors capitalize from the rapidly changing face of energy. Keith connects with hundreds of thousands of readers as the Managing Editor of [Energy & Capital]( as well as Investment Director of Angel Publishing's [Energy Investor.]( For years, Keith has been providing in-depth coverage of the Bakken, the Haynesville Shale, and the Marcellus natural gas formations — all ahead of the mainstream media. For more on Keith, go to his editor's [page](. Enjoy reading this article? [Click here]( to like it and receive similar articles to read! Browse Our Archives [Platinum at a Historic Discount to Gold]( [Is Plains All American the Perfect Trump Oil Investment?]( [Solar Investing in the Age of Trump]( [Unites States of Venezuela]( [Tesla Copycat Illustrates Tough Competition in the EV Industry]( Related Articles [Is Plains All American the Perfect Trump Oil Investment?]( [3 Reasons OPEC is Dead in the Water]( [Meet Saudi Arabia's New Oil Oasis: Texas]( [Will the U.S. Dominate Natural Gas in 2018?]( This email was sent to {EMAIL} . It is not our intention to send email to anyone who doesn't want it. If you're not sure why you've received this e-letter, or no longer wish to receive it, you may [unsubscribe here](, and view our privacy policy and information on how to manage your subscription. To ensure that you receive future issues of Energy and Capital, please add eac-eletter@angelnexus.com to your address book or whitelist within your spam settings. For customer service questions or issues, please contact us for assistance. [Energy and Capital](, Copyright © 2017, [Angel Publishing LLC](. All rights reserved. 111 Market Place #720 Baltimore, MD 21202. The content of this site may not be redistributed without the express written consent of Angel Publishing. Individual editorials, articles and essays appearing on this site may be republished, but only with full attribution of both the author and Energy and Capital as well as a link to www.energyandcapital.com. Your privacy is important to us -- we will never rent or sell your e-mail or personal information. Please read our [Privacy Policy](. No statement or expression of opinion, or any other matter herein, directly or indirectly, is an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities or financial instruments mentioned. While we believe the sources of information to be reliable, we in no way represent or guarantee the accuracy of the statements made herein. [Energy and Capital]( does not provide individual investment counseling, act as an investment advisor, or individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment. The publisher, editors and consultants of Angel Publishing may actively trade in the investments discussed in this publication. They may have substantial positions in the securities recommended and may increase or decrease such positions without notice. Neither the publisher nor the editors are registered investment advisors. Subscribers should not view this publication as offering personalized legal or investment counseling. Investments recommended in this publication should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company in question.

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