538 got this one wrong

Hello, In 2022, no one gave my husband Adam Frisch a chance against Lauren Boebert. Everywhere you looked, the political pundits were calling Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District “Safe Republican” or “Solid R.” Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight only gave Adam a 3% chance of defeating Boebert. They projected he’d lose by over 45,000 votes! [538 model showing Lauren Boebert winning 97 out of 100 times in the 2022 race for Colorado's 3rd Congressional District.]( In the end, though, the race went to a recount. Lauren Boebert won by just 546 votes, and Adam lost the closest race in the entire country. Because here’s what their “models” and “forecasts” didn’t factor in: Adam put in the work. He traveled 24,000 miles in our red pickup truck to every corner of the district. He met thousands and thousands of voters – and he listened. Now, my husband’s running again, and I’ll be honest: The first campaign was hard. But defeating Lauren Boebert is just too important to sit this out. Adam’s all-in to finish the job in 2024. I’m all-in. Can we count on you? [Please, if you can afford to, will you split a donation right now between Adam’s campaign and American Bridge PAC to help him defeat Lauren Boebert? We were outspent in 2022 and just barely lost. Whatever you can afford to give today will help us invest early and win.]( If you've saved payment information with ActBlue Express, your split donation to Adam Frisch and American Bridge PAC will go through immediately: [Donate $15]( [Donate $25]( [Donate $50]( [Donate another amount]( This is a journey we’re making again because so many people like you reached out and encouraged Adam to run one more time. I know it means a lot to Adam that you have his back. Thank you, Katy This email was sent to {EMAIL}. [To unsubscribe from this email list, please click here.]( Paid for by AB PAC. Not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee. American Bridge 21st Century 800 Maine Ave SW Suite 400 Washington, DC 20024 United States