âYou have this phenomenon going on,â comments Agora founder, Bill Bonner. âYou can't analyze it the same way you can analyze a financial cycle because it's largely psychological. It's group think. It's a collective impulse.â [The Wiggin Sessions]( October 19, 2022 [WEBSITE]( | [UNSUBSCRIBE]( The Herd Is Restless âWe herd sheep, we drive cattle, we lead people. Lead me, follow me, or get out of my way.â â General George Patton [Addison Wiggin] Addison
Wiggin Dear Reader, “Greetings from Maine while out land yachting!” writes in reader Alan F. Land yachting, also known as dirtboating, is the act of zipping across land in a wheeled vehicle powered by wind through the use of a sail. It is usually practiced on a flat stretch of beach. “Aren’t loans,” Alan asks, “the bread and butter of the banking industry?” Then continues: In my opinion, holding a portfolio of comparatively low interest loans will not nearly be compensated for by a rising spread of captive capital, especially as ever-savvy consumers are demanding a better return on their money. The herd is restless. We’re pleased you took the time while out landing to write to us… or consider our thoughts on banking… [Click here to learn more]( The herd⦠Weâre restless. (Source: nzgabriel) Today, the markets are writhing slightly downward. The Dow is about a half point low. The S&P and Nasdaq are humming about -1%. In other words, still sideways more or less. With some anxiety. “On the plus side,” says Nick Colas of DataTrek Research, “corporate earnings season may help investor confidence somewhat, just given current oversold conditions and reduced expectations. That should help equities keep their footing, but until we see 2-year and 10-year yields start to decline we think traders and investors should remain wary of expecting too much from this rally.” The 10-year Treasury yield jumped to 4.1%. And we at the Agora Companies shake our heads again at volatility. Investor confidence is always a beast, and a clumsy one at that. “You have this phenomenon going on,” comments Agora founder, Bill Bonner. “You can't analyze it the same way you can analyze a financial cycle because it's largely psychological. It's group think. It's a collective impulse.” Our guest this week on The Wiggin Sessions, [James Howard Kunstler]( calls it “Mass Formation Psychosis” or simply, if less eloquently, “[mind-f*ckery.]( Kunstler explains: The idea comes from Dr. Matias Desmet, who is a clinical psychologist and a statistician from the University of Ghent in Belgium. The cause of “Mass Formation Psychosis” – I’m paraphrasing– is a society in which people feel terribly disconnected and suffer from terrible anxiety. And that predisposes them to be psychologically manipulated. I would say that the source of middle class anxiety is implied by the Long Emergency. They apprehend that our economy is in trouble. They apprehend that the middle class is in terrible distress. They’re terribly worried about where this is taking us, and they can see a lot of disorder, destruction and terrible problems ahead. But their anxieties [are not being articulated by our leadership](. To reiterate à la Alan F: The herd is restless. We remember having a conversation with the producer of IOUSA ten years ago. Her name was Sarah. She said she’d read our material and it started to jive with her own thoughts. “I knew something was wrong,” Sarah told me, a Canadian transplant to Los Angeles, “but I could never put my finger on it.” “You end up with a situation where empires inevitably go bad,” Bill Bonner summarized. “Then you look to try to find out how they're going bad, why they're going bad, when they're going bad. And that's what you do. And you still don't really know, but you can see the patterns repeating themselves.” It’s the money. And when the money goes bad, people move to the extremes. So it goes, [Addison Wiggin] Addison Wiggin
Founder, The Wiggin Sessions P.S. I’d really urge you to check out The Wiggin Sessions from this week with James Howard Kunstler if you haven’t already. He brings his own brand of snarky to the ideas we are discussing… his approach is[altogether refreshing](. One of our viewers, longtime friend Chuck Butler, said he thinks Jim Kunstler “is one of the last free thinkers in America.” Chuck writes a good letter, himself, called [The Daily Pfennig](. You can find it [here](. Sponsored by Legacy Research Forget tech, crypto, bonds, and treasuries â buy these instead [Click here to learn more]( All you have to do is own a small handful of these unique stocks… And you could retire wealthier than you would by trading, chasing the latest “hot” stock, or doing anything your broker tells you. [Click here for the name and ticker of the #1 stock](. Ed note: Got something to say? Send your feedback to The Wiggin Sessions [here.](mailto:WigginSessions@5minforecast.com) LISTEN ON [The Wiggin Sessions]( The Wiggin Sessions is committed to protecting and respecting your privacy. We do not rent or share your email address. By submitting your email address, you consent to Consilience, LLC. delivering daily email issues and advertisements. To end your The Wiggin Sessions e-mail subscription and associated external offers sent from The Wiggin Sessions, feel free to [click here.]( Please read our [Privacy Statement.]( For any further comments or concerns please email us at support@5minforecast.com. If you are having trouble receiving your The Wiggin Sessions subscription, you can ensure its arrival in your mailbox by [whitelisting The Wiggin Sessions.]( © 2022 Consilience, LLC. 808 Saint Paul Street, Baltimore MD 21202. Although our employees may answer your general customer service questions, they are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular investment situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized financial advice. We expressly forbid our writers from having a financial interest in any security they personally recommend to our readers. All of our employees and agents must wait 24 hours after on-line publication or 72 hours after the mailing of a printed-only publication prior to following an initial recommendation. Any investments recommended in this letter should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.